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Spanish Copa del Rey

Gimnastica Segoviana CF vs Leonesa prediction, tips and odds

Benito-less Leonesa drop two tiers' worth of stature into a Copa first round at Segoviana, who have drawn three straight and seen both teams score in four of five
  • both score
  • weakened side
  • high stakes
  • rotation risk
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Gimnastica Segoviana CF: normal
  • Leonesa: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish Copa del Rey

Our prediction

FormD, D, D, W, L
FormL, D, W, L, D

Pedro Benito (out), Jon García (doubtful), Oier López (doubtful)

Our prediction
1–12.8 goals projected
GIM 40%Draw 25%LEO 35%
goals per meeting
2.8goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
4/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
3/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Gimnastica Segoviana CF keep it closeOur pickGimnastica Segoviana CF starts 2.5 goals ahead
    1.09
  • Gimnastica Segoviana CF come throughOur pickHome or Draw
    Price hidden until revealed

How the model sees it

Result probability
GIM 40%Draw 25%LEO 35%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–112%
  • 2–19%
  • 1–09%
Projected goals
2.8
Likeliest at half time
0–028%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Gimnastica Segoviana CF against Leonesa
StatGIMLEOTotal
Goals1.481.362.8

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Gimnastica Segoviana CFD, D, D, W, L
LeonesaL, D, W, L, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendGIMLEO
Over 2.5 goals2/53/5
Both teams scored4/54/5
Clean sheets1/50/5
Failed to score0/51/5
Head-to-head · last 6
2
GIM wins
1
Draws
3
LEO wins
  • DGimnástica Segoviana 1–1 Cultural Leonesa2025-03-16 · Primera Federación (Group 1)2 gls
  • WCultural Leonesa 2–3 Gimnástica Segoviana2024-12-15 · Primera Federación (Group 1)5 gls
  • LCultural Leonesa 2–0 Gimnástica Segoviana2013-02-17 · Segunda División B / Segunda Federación Group (reported as Group 8 by gioscore, 'Segunda Federacion' by Goal)2 gls
  • WGimnástica Segoviana 3–1 Cultural Leonesa2012-09-29 · Segunda División B / Segunda Federación Group 54 gls
  • LCultural Leonesa 2–1 Gimnástica Segoviana1986-10-01 · Copa del Rey, Round 2 (2nd leg)3 gls
2.8goals per meeting4/6with both teams scoring3/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Segoviana: D (1-1 Tordesillas), D (1-1 At. Madrid C), D (3-3 Guadalajara), W (2-0 SS Reyes), L (1-2 Conquense) — one win in five, drawing a lot, both teams scoring in four of five. Leonesa: L (1-2 Pontevedra), D (1-1 Logroñés), W (4-1 Arenas Getxo), L (0-2 Unionistas), D (2-2 Co…
History
The two Segovia/León neighbours are not regular opponents. VERIFIED league meetings: 16 Mar 2025 (Primera Federación) Segoviana 1-1 Leonesa (HT 1-0); 15 Dec 2024 (Primera Federación) Leonesa 2-3 Segoviana (HT 1-1); 17 Feb 2013 (Segunda B/Tercera Gr.8) Leonesa 2-0 Segoviana; 29 Sep 2012 Segoviana 3-1 Leonesa. Cup history: 1986-87 Copa del Rey R2 — Segoviana 0-1 Leonesa (17 Sep 1986) and Leonesa 2-1 Segoviana (1 Oct 1986, at La Eragudina, Astorga). Stature: Leonesa are the markedly bigger club —…
The competition
Copa del Rey 2026-27, single-match knockout round (early round, one leg, no second leg; a draw after 90 minutes goes to extra time and penalties — so a 'draw' bet is 90-minute only). Segoviana are a Segunda Federación (4th-tier, Group 5) side, mid-table; Leonesa are a Primera Federación (3rd-tier, Group 1) side sitting in the lower-middle of the table after a patchy start. Two divisions apart, so the tie carries a real level gap, but both are lower-league squads facing a midweek cup game betwee…

Team news

Gimnastica Segoviana CF

No absences reported.

Leonesa
  • Pedro Benito — out (fwd)
  • Jon García — doubtful (def)
  • Oier López — doubtful (def)

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Gimnastica Segoviana CF vs Leonesa prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Gimnastica Segoviana CF 40%, the draw 25% and Leonesa 35%.

What is the best bet for Gimnastica Segoviana CF vs Leonesa?

Our tip is Gimnastica Segoviana CF starts 2.5 goals ahead at 1.09.

What time does Gimnastica Segoviana CF vs Leonesa kick off?

Gimnastica Segoviana CF vs Leonesa kicks off at Tue 19:00 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.

Who is out for Gimnastica Segoviana CF vs Leonesa?

Reported absences: Pedro Benito (out), Jon García (doubtful), Oier López (doubtful).

What happened the last time Gimnastica Segoviana CF vs Leonesa met?

Gimnástica Segoviana 1–1 Cultural Leonesa (2025-03-16 · Primera Federación (Group 1)). Over their last 6 meetings it is 2 wins for Gimnastica Segoviana CF, 1 draw and 3 for Leonesa.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.