UD Castellonense vs Almeria prediction, tips and odds
- cup
- Leg single
- UD Castellonense: high
- Almeria: normal
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- Spanish Copa del Rey
Our prediction
Mikel Vesga (out), Daijiro Chirino (out), Rodrigo Ely (out), Nico Melamed (out)
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Almeria come throughOur pickAlmeria1.46
- UD Castellonense keep it closeOur pickUD Castellonense starts 2 goals aheadPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 1–111%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- Projected goals
- 2.8
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–028%
| Stat | UD | ALM | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 | 1.75 | 2.8 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | UD | ALM |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| Both teams scored | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| Clean sheets | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| Failed to score | 1/5 | 0/5 |
Match context
- Form
- Almería W W W W D: 4-2 at Real Sociedad B, 3-0 v Leganés, 2-1 v Burgos, 1-0 at Mallorca, 2-2 v Oviedo; Castellonense W L W L W: 2-0 at Intercity, 2-3 at Minera, 3-0 v Murcia B, 0-1 at Lorca, 2-1 v UCAM.
- History
- No meaningful head-to-head history: Castellonense (Villanueva de Castellón, Valencia; founded 1946) spent almost their entire existence in regional football and only reached a national division in 2026-27, so they have never played Almería. This Copa del Rey first-round tie at the Eliseo Pla Ramírez (artificial pitch, ~1,500 capacity) is the first-ever meeting. Stature gap is enormous: Almería are a LaLiga 2 side sitting 2nd (8-1-2) and recent top-flight regulars; Castellonense are fourth-tier…
- The competition
- Copa del Rey 2026-27, first round: 56 single-leg ties on 27-29 Oct, played at the lower-ranked club's ground, no second leg (Supercopa sides exempt). UD Castellonense (Segunda Federación Group 3, 4th tier, 3rd after 7 games) host Segunda División leaders Almería (25 pts from 11 games). Large level gap; Castellonense have no league pressure and may rotate, while Almería might rest regulars with a promotion race on. One-off tie: no replay.
Team news
No absences reported.
- Mikel Vesga — out (mid)
- Daijiro Chirino — out (def)
- Rodrigo Ely — out (def)
- Nico Melamed — out (mid)
Spanish Copa del Rey table
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 11 | — | 25 |
| 2 | CD Castellón | 11 | — | 23 |
| 3 | Eibar | 10 | — | 22 |
| 4 | Granada | 11 | — | 20 |
| 5 | Sporting Gijón | 10 | — | 19 |
| 6 | Burgos | 11 | — | 18 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
More Spanish Copa del Rey tips this weekend
- CD Cuarte vs Girona · Full time result · Girona1.18
- Sestao River vs Espanyol · Full time result · Espanyol1.51
- CF Calamocha vs CE Europa · CF Calamocha starts 1.5 goals ahead1.37
- SD Atletico Tordesillas vs Mirandes · Full time result · Mirandes1.70
- U.D Llanera vs Ponferradina · Full time result · Ponferradina1.69
- Gimnastica Segoviana CF vs Leonesa · Full time · Under 4.5 Goals1.18
Frequently asked questions
What is our UD Castellonense vs Almeria prediction?
We project 1–1. Our model gives UD Castellonense 24%, the draw 24% and Almeria 52%.
What is the best bet for UD Castellonense vs Almeria?
Our tip is Full time result · Almeria at 1.46. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does UD Castellonense vs Almeria kick off?
UD Castellonense vs Almeria kicks off at Tue 18:45 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.
Who is out for UD Castellonense vs Almeria?
Reported absences: Mikel Vesga (out), Daijiro Chirino (out), Rodrigo Ely (out), Nico Melamed (out).
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.