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US MLS

Kansas City vs Austin FC prediction, tips and odds

Bottom-of-the-West Sporting KC, worst defence in MLS and patched by four injured defenders, host an Austin side winless in six with only pride left to play for
  • goals fest
  • high ceiling
  • dead rubber
  • even match
  • league
  • Kansas City: low
  • Austin FC: must win
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
US MLS

Our prediction

Kansas City
15th · 22 pts
FormL, L, D, L, W

Or Blorian (out), Diego Borges (out), Moises Mosquera (out), Justin Reynolds (out), Lasse Berg Johnsen (doubtful), Seymour Reid (doubtful), Owen Wolff (doubtful)

Austin FC
14th · 31 pts
FormL, L, L

Jon Bell (out), Žan Kolmanič (out)

Our prediction
1–13.6 goals projected
KAN 46%Draw 22%AUS 32%
goals per meeting
2.8goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
4/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
4/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Kansas City come throughOur pickKansas City · Draw no bet
    2.14
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 3.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
KAN 46%Draw 22%AUS 32%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–19%
  • 2–19%
  • 1–27%
Projected goals
3.6
Likeliest at half time
0–020%
Competition goals a game
3.25
Competition matches over 2.5
64%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Kansas City against Austin FC
StatKANAUSTotal
Goals1.971.63.6
Corners4.914.499.4

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Kansas CityL, L, D, L, W
Austin FCL, L, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendKANAUS
Over 2.5 goals4/53/3
Both teams scored3/53/3
Clean sheets1/50/3
Failed to score1/50/3
Head-to-head · last 6
2
KAN wins
0
Draws
4
AUS wins
  • WAustin FC 1–2 Sporting Kansas City2026-05-16 · MLS regular season3 gls
  • LSporting Kansas City 1–2 Austin FC2025-09-07 · MLS regular season3 gls
  • LAustin FC 1–0 Sporting Kansas City2025-02-22 · MLS regular season1 gls
  • WSporting Kansas City 2–0 Austin FC2024-06-29 · MLS regular season2 gls
  • LAustin FC 3–2 Sporting Kansas City2024-05-18 · MLS regular season5 gls
2.8goals per meeting4/6with both teams scoring4/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

  • Dry and mild in Kansas City, ~70F, 0% chance of rain, light SSE breeze — no conditions expected to matter.
Form
Sporting KC LLDLL last five (10 conceded in last four, 75 GA in 30); Austin FC LLL in three, all conceding 3+, and no win in six.
History
All 13-14 MLS meetings since 2021 are regular-season matches; Austin FC lead the series and have won most recent meetings, including 2-1 at Q2 Stadium in May 2026 (Austin led 1-0 at HT), 2-1 at Children's Mercy Park in Sept 2025 (1-1 at HT) and 1-0 at Q2 in Feb 2025. KC's best recent results are home wins (4-1 in June 2023, 2-0 in June 2024, HT 1-0). Austin won 6 of 8 before Sept 2025 and have historically outscored KC narrowly. Both are lower-to-mid-table MLS sides; neither is a dominant club…
The competition
MLS 2026 regular season (Major League Soccer, USA top flight), final round — both sides out of the Western Conference playoff race. Austin FC are 14th on 31 pts (7W-10D-13L, 38 GF/56 GA) and Sporting KC are 15th and bottom of the conference on 22 pts (6W-4D-20L, 36 GF/75 GA, worst defence in the league, already eliminated). Match is a dead rubber for both — pride/rotation game before the postseason, which both miss. Kickoff listed Sat Oct 24, 8:30 pm ET at Sporting Park (event dated Oct 25 UTC).

Team news

Kansas City
  • Or Blorian — out (def)
  • Diego Borges — out (def)
  • Moises Mosquera — out (def)
  • Justin Reynolds — out (def)
  • Lasse Berg Johnsen — doubtful (mid)
  • Seymour Reid — doubtful (fwd)
  • Owen Wolff — doubtful (mid)
Austin FC
  • Jon Bell — out (def)
  • Žan Kolmanič — out (def)

US MLS table and leaders

US MLS standings
#ClubPLGDPts
15Sporting Kansas City30—22
14Austin FC30—31
1Vancouver Whitecaps FC30—55
2FC Dallas30—51
3St. Louis CITY SC30—51
10Real Salt Lake30—36

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Lionel MessiInter Miami CF24 goals
  2. 2Petar MusaFC Dallas18 goals
  3. 3Brian WhiteVancouver Whitecaps16 goals

APWin, ESPN, FootyStats tables as of ~24 Oct 2026; APWin has Messi 24 goals, ESPN 23.

More tips this week

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Kansas City vs Austin FC prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Kansas City 46%, the draw 22% and Austin FC 32%.

What is the best bet for Kansas City vs Austin FC?

Our tip is Full time result · Kansas City at 2.14. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Kansas City vs Austin FC kick off?

Kansas City vs Austin FC kicks off at Sun 00:30 in the US MLS.

Who is out for Kansas City vs Austin FC?

Reported absences: Or Blorian (out), Diego Borges (out), Moises Mosquera (out), Justin Reynolds (out), Lasse Berg Johnsen (doubtful), Seymour Reid (doubtful), Owen Wolff (doubtful), Jon Bell (out), Žan Kolmanič (out).

What happened the last time Kansas City vs Austin FC met?

Austin FC 1–2 Sporting Kansas City (2026-05-16 · MLS regular season). Over their last 6 meetings it is 2 wins for Kansas City, 0 draws and 4 for Austin FC.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.