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German Cup

Leverkusen vs Nurnberg prediction, tips and odds

Leverkusen, 4-0 cup winners in round one, host second-tier Nürnberg, who must replace 7-goal top scorer Zoma after shoulder surgery.
  • goals fest
  • one sided
  • high ceiling
  • weakened side
  • high stakes
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Leverkusen: normal
  • Nurnberg: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
German Cup

Our prediction

Leverkusen
4th · 13 pts
FormL, W, W, W, W

Moussa Diaby (out), Loïc Badé (doubtful), Martin Terrier (out), Christian Kofane (out)

Nurnberg
2nd · 18 pts
FormL, D, D

Mohamed Ali Zoma (out), Finn Ole Becker (out)

Our prediction
2–03.7 goals projected
LEV 79%Draw 13%NUR 8%
goals per meeting
2.5goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
2/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
2/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
1–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Leverkusen come throughOur pickLeverkusen
    1.19
  • A quiet first halfOur pickUnder 2.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed
Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
LEV 79%Draw 13%NUR 8%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 2–010%
  • 3–010%
  • 2–19%
Projected goals
3.7
Likeliest at half time
1–024%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Leverkusen against Nurnberg
StatLEVNURTotal
Goals2.820.843.7
Corners5.675.110.8

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
LeverkusenL, W, W, W, W
NurnbergL, D, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendLEVNUR
Over 2.5 goals4/51/3
Both teams scored2/52/3
Clean sheets2/50/3
Failed to score1/51/3
Head-to-head · last 6
5
LEV wins
1
Draws
0
NUR wins
  • WBayer Leverkusen 2–0 1. FC Nürnberg2019-04-20 · Bundesliga2 gls
  • D1. FC Nürnberg 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen2018-12-03 · Bundesliga2 gls
  • W1. FC Nürnberg 1–4 Bayer Leverkusen2014-04-20 · Bundesliga5 gls
  • WBayer Leverkusen 3–0 1. FC Nürnberg2013-11-30 · Bundesliga3 gls
  • W1. FC Nürnberg 0–2 Bayer Leverkusen2013-05-04 · Bundesliga2 gls
2.5goals per meeting2/6with both teams scoring2/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Leverkusen lost 0-3 at Hoffenheim but had won five straight before (4-3 Mainz, 4-0 Poznan, 2-1 Freiburg, 2-0 OFI, 4-0 Wehen in cup). Nürnberg DLL-ish run: 0-1 v Kaiserslautern, 1-1 at Cottbus, 4-4 v Wolfsburg — 21 goals in 9 league games.
History
Leverkusen and Nurnberg have not met in the league since 2018/19 (Nurnberg relegated, now 2. Bundesliga). The last four league meetings: Leverkusen 2-0 Nurnberg (20 Apr 2019, HT 0-0), Nurnberg 1-1 Leverkusen (3 Dec 2018), Nurnberg 1-4 Leverkusen (20 Apr 2014), Leverkusen 3-0 Nurnberg (30 Nov 2013). Leverkusen are the far bigger club — Bundesliga/Europa League side, 2023/24 DFB-Pokal winners — against a second-tier Nurnberg. All meetings are 7+ years old and none are in this cup, so the h2h is o…
The competition
DFB-Pokal 2026/27, 2nd round (single-leg knockout, extra time and penalties if level) at the BayArena. Leverkusen are a Bundesliga side (4th, 13 pts from 7) hosting 2. Bundesliga promotion contenders Nürnberg (2nd/3rd, 18 pts from 9, 21:12). Leverkusen came off a 3-0 Bundesliga loss at Hoffenheim and face Stuttgart on 31 Oct — rotation/load management is a live theme; Nürnberg lost 0-1 at home to Kaiserslautern. Nothing to play for but progression; knockout cup, one leg.

Team news

Leverkusen
  • Moussa Diaby — out (fwd)
  • Loïc Badé — doubtful (def)
  • Martin Terrier — out (fwd)
  • Christian Kofane — out (fwd)
Nurnberg
  • Mohamed Ali Zoma — out (fwd)
  • Finn Ole Becker — out (mid)

German Cup table

German Cup standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Hertha BSC9—25
21. FC Nürnberg9—18
31. FC Kaiserslautern9—18
4VfL Wolfsburg9——
4Bayer Leverkusen7—13

as read when this competition was last scouted.

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Leverkusen vs Nurnberg prediction?

We project 2–0. Our model gives Leverkusen 79%, the draw 13% and Nurnberg 8%.

What is the best bet for Leverkusen vs Nurnberg?

Our tip is Full time result · Leverkusen at 1.19.

What time does Leverkusen vs Nurnberg kick off?

Leverkusen vs Nurnberg kicks off at Wed 19:45 in the German Cup.

Who is out for Leverkusen vs Nurnberg?

Reported absences: Moussa Diaby (out), Loïc Badé (doubtful), Martin Terrier (out), Christian Kofane (out), Mohamed Ali Zoma (out), Finn Ole Becker (out).

What happened the last time Leverkusen vs Nurnberg met?

Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 1. FC Nürnberg (2019-04-20 · Bundesliga). Over their last 6 meetings it is 5 wins for Leverkusen, 1 draw and 0 for Nurnberg.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.