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Spanish Copa del Rey

Manacor vs Villarreal prediction, tips and odds

Fifth-tier Manacor, unbeaten at home and scoring in every game, host a rotated Villarreal missing Pépé, Romero and Buchanan in a first-ever meeting.
  • goals fest
  • high ceiling
  • one sided
  • both score
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Manacor: high
  • Villarreal: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish Copa del Rey

Our prediction

Manacor
3rd · 16 pts
FormD, L, W, W, W
FormW, L, D, W, L

Ilias Akhomach (doubtful), Nicolas Pépé (out), Carlos Romero (out), Tajon Buchanan (out)

Our prediction
2–13.3 goals projected
MAN 54%Draw 22%VIL 24%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Villarreal come throughOur pickVillarreal
    1.05
  • Manacor keep it closeOur pickManacor starts 3.5 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

Result probability
MAN 54%Draw 22%VIL 24%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 2–110%
  • 1–110%
  • 2–08%
Projected goals
3.3
Likeliest at half time
0–023%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Manacor against Villarreal
StatMANVILTotal
Goals2.021.283.3

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
ManacorD, L, W, W, W
VillarrealW, L, D, W, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendMANVIL
Over 2.5 goals3/53/5
Both teams scored4/53/5
Clean sheets0/51/5
Failed to score1/52/5

Match context

Form
Manacor WDL: 2-1 Binissalem (H), 2-1 Andratx (H), 0-2 Formentera (A), 1-1 Arenal (A), 5-1 Migjorn (H) — usually score, occasionally leak. Villarreal W2 L1: 2-1 Valencia, 3-1 Napoli (CL), 0-0 Elche, 0-1 Real Madrid, 3-4 Liverpool (CL) — scoring but conceding too.
History
No meaningful history: Manacor and Villarreal have never met competitively (Analítica Fantasy H2H page: "Sin enfrentamientos — no hay partidos históricos finalizados entre Manacor y Villarreal"). This first round Copa del Rey tie at Na Capellera is the first-ever meeting. Stature gap is enormous: Manacor are a fifth-tier Tercera Federación side (Group 11) who finished 2nd in their 2025/26 group with 77 points but have never played above the third tier, while Villarreal finished 3rd in LaLiga in…
The competition
Copa del Rey 2026-27, single-leg first round (round of 128) at Na Capellera — a top-flight side away to a fifth-tier club. Manacor (CE Manacor) play in Tercera Federación Group 11, Spain's fifth tier, and have never been above the third; they sit 3rd in their group with 16 pts from 7 (5W 1D 1L, 16:8). Villarreal are a LaLiga/Champions League side (11th in LaLiga on 12 pts from 10; 15 GF/14 GA), 3rd in LaLiga last season. Villarreal boss Iñigo Pérez called it "máxima importancia" and warned the…

Team news

Manacor

No absences reported.

Villarreal
  • Ilias Akhomach — doubtful (fwd)
  • Nicolas Pépé — out (fwd)
  • Carlos Romero — out (def)
  • Tajon Buchanan — out (mid)

Spanish Copa del Rey table

Spanish Copa del Rey standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1CE Constancia7—16
2Ibiza Islas Pitiusas6—16
3Manacor7—16
4Platges de Calvia———
5SD Formentera———
6Binissalem———

as read when this competition was last scouted.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Manacor vs Villarreal prediction?

We project 2–1. Our model gives Manacor 54%, the draw 22% and Villarreal 24%.

What is the best bet for Manacor vs Villarreal?

Our tip is Full time result · Villarreal at 1.05. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Manacor vs Villarreal kick off?

Manacor vs Villarreal kicks off at Tue 20:00 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.

Who is out for Manacor vs Villarreal?

Reported absences: Ilias Akhomach (doubtful), Nicolas Pépé (out), Carlos Romero (out), Tajon Buchanan (out).

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.