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Spanish Copa del Rey

Sporting Alcazar vs Malaga prediction, tips and odds

Winless La Liga side Málaga travel to sixth-tier Sporting de Alcázar, whose heavy defeats to stronger opposition point to a lopsided Copa del Rey night
  • one sided
  • goals fest
  • high ceiling
  • high stakes
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Sporting Alcazar: high
  • Malaga: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish Copa del Rey

Our prediction

Sporting Alcazar
FormL, W, W, L
Malaga
20th · 5 pts
FormD, L, D, L, D

Joaquín Muñoz (out), Juan Cruz (out), Aarón Ochoa (out), Julen Lobete (out), Pablo Martínez (doubtful), Cajuste (out)

Our prediction
0–34.1 goals projected
SPO 4%Draw 9%MAL 87%
likeliest half-time score
0–1likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Malaga come throughOur pickMalaga
    1.05
  • Goals keep comingOur pickOver 4.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
SPO 4%Draw 9%MAL 87%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 0–311%
  • 0–29%
  • 0–49%
Projected goals
4.1
Likeliest at half time
0–124%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Sporting Alcazar against Malaga
StatSPOMALTotal
Goals0.713.44.1

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Sporting AlcazarL, W, W, L
MalagaD, L, D, L, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendSPOMAL
Over 2.5 goals2/42/5
Both teams scored2/44/5
Clean sheets1/41/5
Failed to score1/41/5

Match context

Form
Málaga (La Liga): DLLDD — 1-1 at Alavés (led 1-0 at HT), 2-5 home loss to Real Sociedad, 1-1 vs Espanyol (0-1 HT), 1-3 vs Villarreal, 0-0 vs Levante; winless in 10 league games, 7 goals scored. Sporting de Alcázar (6th tier): LWWL — 1-2 loss at La Roda, 1-0 win over Talayuela, 2…
History
No meaningful history: Málaga CF's own club site describes this as a first-ever meeting between the two clubs. Sporting de Alcázar (Ciudad Real, Primera Autonómica Preferente de Castilla-La Mancha — roughly 5th/6th tier) are a tiny amateur side who reached round 1 by beating CP Talayuela in the preliminary round; Málaga play in LALIGA EA SPORTS (top flight in this 2026-27 season) and are enormous favourites. Total mismatch in stature, single-leg cup tie at Municipal Manuel Delgado Meco with ext…
The competition
Copa del Rey 2026-27, first round — a single-match knockout tie, decided on the night with extra time and penalties if level, at the 5,000-capacity Manuel Delgado Meco (artificial grass) in Alcázar de San Juan. Huge level gap: Málaga are a La Liga side (20th, 5 pts from 10, winless), Sporting de Alcázar are amateurs of the Primera Autonómica Preferente de Castilla-La Mancha (sixth tier), mid-to-lower table in Group 1; they came through the preliminary round vs CP Talayuela 3-1 on aggregate. Spo…

Team news

Sporting Alcazar

No absences reported.

Malaga
  • Joaquín Muñoz — out (fwd)
  • Juan Cruz — out (fwd)
  • Aarón Ochoa — out (fwd)
  • Julen Lobete — out (fwd)
  • Pablo Martínez — doubtful (mid)
  • Cajuste — out (mid)

Spanish Copa del Rey table

Spanish Copa del Rey standings
#ClubPLGDPts
20Malaga10—5

as read when this competition was last scouted.

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Sporting Alcazar vs Malaga prediction?

We project 0–3. Our model gives Sporting Alcazar 4%, the draw 9% and Malaga 87%.

What is the best bet for Sporting Alcazar vs Malaga?

Our tip is Full time result · Malaga at 1.05. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Sporting Alcazar vs Malaga kick off?

Sporting Alcazar vs Malaga kicks off at Tue 20:00 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.

Who is out for Sporting Alcazar vs Malaga?

Reported absences: Joaquín Muñoz (out), Juan Cruz (out), Aarón Ochoa (out), Julen Lobete (out), Pablo Martínez (doubtful), Cajuste (out).

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.