Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise prediction, tips and odds
- high stakes
- rotation risk
- no strong shape
- league
- Celta Vigo: high
- Union St Gilloise: normal
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- UEFA Europa League
Our prediction
Borja Iglesias (out), Carl Starfelt (out), Miguel Román (out), Álvaro Núñez (out), Hugo González (doubtful), Jones El Abdellaoui (out)
Kevin Mac Allister (out), Mateo Biondic (out), Rob Schoofs (out), Ondřej Kričfaluši (out)
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals1.17
- Union St Gilloise come throughOur pickDraw or AwayPrice hidden until revealed
How the model sees it
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- Projected goals
- 2.8
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–029%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.71
- Competition matches over 2.5
- 53%
| Stat | CEL | UNI | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.35 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 2.8 |
| Expected goals (xG)League 1.4 | 1.33 | 1.48 | 2.8 |
| CornersLeague 4.6 | 3.62 | 4.7 | 8.3 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | CEL | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| Both teams scored | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Clean sheets | 1/5 | 2/5 |
| Failed to score | 2/5 | 0/5 |
Match context
- Dry, mild evening in Vigo (approx 13C at kickoff, rain chance under 20%) — no weather concern flagged
- Form
- Celta L-D-W-W-L: blanked in their last two (0-3 at Rayo, 0-0 v Betis), 5 scored / 7 conceded in five; USG W-W-W-W-D: 15 scored / 4 conceded in five, but 0-1 down at half-time in the 5-2 comeback v Cercle.
- History
- No meaningful recent history: multiple independent sources (EaglePredict, EloFoot, Scores24, AnaliticaFantasy) state Celta Vigo and Union Saint-Gilloise have never met in a competitive or recorded match, so there is no head-to-head form between them. On stature/level: Celta are a La Liga club from Balaídos but having a poor European campaign (25th in the 36-team league phase, 3 pts from 3, 3 scored/4 conceded), while Union SG are the stronger-performing side here — 6th with 7 pts from 3 (8-1 go…
- The competition
- Europa League 2026/27 league phase, matchday 4 of 8 — an ordinary single-table round, not a knockout leg. Both sides are in strong shape after three games: Union St Gilloise sit 6th (P3, W2 D1 L0, 8-1, 7 pts, unbeaten, incl. a 3-0 win at Viktoria Plzen), Celta Vigo 25th (P3, W1 L2, 3-4, 3 pts, all-or-nothing: lost to Omonia and Juventus, won 2-1 at Celtic). Top 8 go straight to the last 16, 9-24 to the play-offs, 25-36 out — so USG are playing for a top-8 cushion while Celta, outside the play-o…
Team news
- Borja Iglesias — out (fwd)
- Carl Starfelt — out (def)
- Miguel Román — out (mid)
- Álvaro Núñez — out (def)
- Hugo González — doubtful (fwd)
- Jones El Abdellaoui — out (fwd)
- Kevin Mac Allister — out (def)
- Mateo Biondic — out (fwd)
- Rob Schoofs — out (mid)
- Ondřej Kričfaluši — out (def)
UEFA Europa League table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | — | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | — | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | — | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 8 | — | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | — | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | — | 17 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Igor JesusNottingham Forest7 goals
- 2Petar StanićLudogorets7 goals
- 3AntonyReal Betis6 goals
- 4Kerem AktürkoğluFenerbahçe6 goals
- 5Vincenzo GrifoSC Freiburg5 goals
- 1Deniz UndavVfB Stuttgart6 assists
- 2Emiliano BuendíaAston Villa6 assists
- 3Morgan RogersAston Villa5 assists
- 4Ricardo HortaBraga5 assists
- 5Andrija ŽivkovićPAOK5 assists
- 1Aston Villa9 clean sheets
- 2Nottingham Forest7 clean sheets
- 3Braga7 clean sheets
- 4FC Midtjylland5 clean sheets
- 5Viktoria Plzeň5 clean sheets
UEFA.com 2025/26 stats: 512 goals / 189 matches = 2.71; over-2.5 52.8% (GoalStatsLab); table stat32/Tribuna; leaders UEFA.com, ESPN, Statz
More UEFA Europa League tips this weekend
- Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.21
- AC Milan vs Ferencvaros · Full time result · AC Milan1.38
- NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.20
- Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.11
- Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth · Full time result · Bournemouth1.55
- Real Sociedad vs Lyon · Full time result · Real Sociedad1.73
Frequently asked questions
What is our Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise prediction?
We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Celta Vigo 42%, the draw 27% and Union St Gilloise 31%.
What is the best bet for Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise?
Our tip is Full time · Under 4.5 Goals at 1.17.
What time does Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise kick off?
Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise kicks off at Thu 20:00 in the UEFA Europa League.
Who is out for Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise?
Reported absences: Borja Iglesias (out), Carl Starfelt (out), Miguel Román (out), Álvaro Núñez (out), Hugo González (doubtful), Jones El Abdellaoui (out), Kevin Mac Allister (out), Mateo Biondic (out), Rob Schoofs (out), Ondřej Kričfaluši (out).
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.