Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth prediction, tips and odds
- one sided
- weakened side
- slow start
- league
- Sparta Prague: high
- Bournemouth: normal
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- UEFA Europa League
Our prediction
John Mercado (doubtful), Adam Karabec (out), Matěj Ryneš (out), Emmanuel Uchenna (out), Magnus Kofod Andersen (out), Adam Ševínský (doubtful)
Alex Scott (out), Alex Tóth (out), Julian Araujo (out), Bafodé Diakité (doubtful)
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Bournemouth come throughOur pickBournemouth · Draw no bet1.55
- Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 GoalsPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 0–115%
- 0–214%
- 1–19%
- Projected goals
- 2.6
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–031%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.71
- Competition matches over 2.5
- 53%
| Stat | SPA | BOU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.35 | 0.63 | 1.94 | 2.6 |
| Expected goals (xG)League 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.44 | 2.9 |
| CornersLeague 4.6 | 5.18 | 4.46 | 9.6 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | SPA | BOU |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 | 3/5 |
| Both teams scored | 1/5 | 0/5 |
| Clean sheets | 2/5 | 5/5 |
| Failed to score | 4/5 | 0/5 |
Match context
- Prague Thu forecast ~45-47F, cloudy, wind ~4mph; not flagged as extreme.
- Form
- Sparta DD(L via cup, 0-2 to Ostrava)WD D: four blanks in their last five in all comps, only the 5-1 v Slovacko (HT 3-0) offered goals; Bournemouth WWWWW in five of last six — four clean sheets in a row, 13 goals scored, 3-0 v Milan in Europe.
- History
- No meaningful head-to-head history: this is the first competitive meeting between Sparta Prague and Bournemouth. Bournemouth are in their maiden European campaign (first in the club's 127-year history, 2026-27), so the clubs have never met in any competition. Stature is the reverse of the usual pairing — the Premier League side is the bigger, in-form club (unbeaten, 3 wins from 3 in the Europa League, third in the table and on a long winning run) travelling to a Czech giant having a middling Eu…
- The competition
- UEFA Europa League 2026-27 league phase (single table, 36 teams; Matchday 4). This is the first meeting of the sides. Bournemouth sit outside the eight on-file rows shown but are in strong form (three EL wins: 2-1 at Real Sociedad, 3-0 v Sturm Graz, 3-0 v Milan). Sparta Prague are 3 pts from 3 EL games (1-1 v Lillestrom, 0-1 at Olympiacos) and are well off the top-eight pace after losing at home to Ostrava in the cup and drawing 0-0 at Bohemians; every point matters for play-off seeding, so bot…
Team news
- John Mercado — doubtful (fwd)
- Adam Karabec — out (mid)
- Matěj Ryneš — out (def)
- Emmanuel Uchenna — out (def)
- Magnus Kofod Andersen — out (mid)
- Adam Ševínský — doubtful (def)
- Alex Scott — out (mid)
- Alex Tóth — out (mid)
- Julian Araujo — out (def)
- Bafodé Diakité — doubtful (def)
UEFA Europa League table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | — | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | — | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | — | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 8 | — | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | — | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | — | 17 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Igor JesusNottingham Forest7 goals
- 2Petar StanićLudogorets7 goals
- 3AntonyReal Betis6 goals
- 4Kerem AktürkoğluFenerbahçe6 goals
- 5Vincenzo GrifoSC Freiburg5 goals
- 1Deniz UndavVfB Stuttgart6 assists
- 2Emiliano BuendíaAston Villa6 assists
- 3Morgan RogersAston Villa5 assists
- 4Ricardo HortaBraga5 assists
- 5Andrija ŽivkovićPAOK5 assists
- 1Aston Villa9 clean sheets
- 2Nottingham Forest7 clean sheets
- 3Braga7 clean sheets
- 4FC Midtjylland5 clean sheets
- 5Viktoria Plzeň5 clean sheets
UEFA.com 2025/26 stats: 512 goals / 189 matches = 2.71; over-2.5 52.8% (GoalStatsLab); table stat32/Tribuna; leaders UEFA.com, ESPN, Statz
More UEFA Europa League tips this weekend
- Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.21
- AC Milan vs Ferencvaros · Full time result · AC Milan1.38
- NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.20
- Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.11
- Real Sociedad vs Lyon · Full time result · Real Sociedad1.73
- PFC Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystock · Full time · Under 4.5 Goals1.16
Frequently asked questions
What is our Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth prediction?
We project 0–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Sparta Prague 15%, the draw 21% and Bournemouth 64%.
What is the best bet for Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth?
Our tip is Full time result · Bournemouth at 1.55. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth kick off?
Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth kicks off at Thu 17:45 in the UEFA Europa League.
Who is out for Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth?
Reported absences: John Mercado (doubtful), Adam Karabec (out), Matěj Ryneš (out), Emmanuel Uchenna (out), Magnus Kofod Andersen (out), Adam Ševínský (doubtful), Alex Scott (out), Alex Tóth (out), Julian Araujo (out), Bafodé Diakité (doubtful).
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.