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English Premier League

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle prediction, tips and odds

  • league
  • Crystal Palace: high
  • Newcastle: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
English Premier League
Referee
Paul Tierney
3.4 cards a game

Our prediction

Crystal Palace
15th · 7 pts
FormD, L, L, L, D

Dean Henderson (doubtful), Chadi Riad (out), Takehiro Tomiyasu (out), Jorgen Strand Larsen (doubtful), Quinten Timber (doubtful), Jean-Philippe Mateta (doubtful)

Newcastle
11th · 8 pts
FormL, L, W, D

Anthony Elanga (doubtful), Jacob Ramsey (doubtful), Matias Fernandez-Pardo (doubtful), Tino Livramento (out)

Our prediction
1–13.3 goals projected
CRY 34%Draw 23%NEW 43%
goals per meeting
2.7goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
2/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
3/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Crystal Palace come throughOur pickHome or Draw
    1.70
  • Newcastle come throughOur pickNewcastle · Draw no bet
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

Result probability
CRY 34%Draw 23%NEW 43%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–110%
  • 1–29%
  • 2–18%
Projected goals
3.3
Likeliest at half time
0–023%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Crystal Palace against Newcastle
StatCRYNEWTotal
Goals1.541.743.3
Corners4.314.799.1

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Crystal PalaceD, L, L, L, D
NewcastleL, L, W, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendCRYNEW
Over 2.5 goals3/53/4
Both teams scored2/53/4
Clean sheets1/50/4
Failed to score3/51/4
Head-to-head · last 6
2
CRY wins
2
Draws
2
NEW wins
  • WCrystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle United2026-04-12 · Premier League3 gls
  • LNewcastle United 5–0 Crystal Palace2025-04-16 · Premier League5 gls
  • DCrystal Palace 1–1 Newcastle United2024-11-30 · Premier League2 gls
  • WCrystal Palace 2–0 Newcastle United2024-04-24 · Premier League2 gls
  • LNewcastle United 4–0 Crystal Palace2023-10-21 · Premier League4 gls
2.7goals per meeting2/6with both teams scoring3/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Palace LLLDW overall: 0-5 at Brighton, 2-3 at Lyon, 0-2 friendly v Bristol City, 0-0 at Leeds, 3-2 win at Fulham — 1 win in 5, scoring little, conceding heavily; Newcastle LWLDL: 0-1 v Villa, 1-4 at Coventry, 2-1 v Hull, 2-2 v Bournemouth — leaky at the back, also low-scoring.
History
Same-division Premier League regulars, broadly comparable clubs — Newcastle the wealthier, higher-ceiling side under Eddie Howe but mid-table (11th, 8 pts from 7) here, Palace slightly below (14th, 7 pts) yet unbeaten-in-Europe and the more settled outfit. All recent meetings are Premier League at Selhurst Park or St James' Park, and Newcastle have dominated the last six: wins of 5-0 and 4-0 (both with big half-time leads) and a 4-1, against Palace's 2-1 Selhurst win in April 2026 and 2-0 in Ap…
The competition
English Premier League, the English top flight (tier 1, matchweek 8 of 2026-27). Both sides are mid/lower-table: Newcastle 11th on 8 pts and Palace around 14th-15th on 7 pts after 7-8 games, with Man City and Arsenal tied on 21 at the top. Nothing is settled at this stage — this is an ordinary league round where both clubs are looking to avoid slipping toward the bottom third; Palace go into it off a 5-0 derby thrashing at Brighton and a 2-2 Europa League draw at Beşiktaş three days earlier (fi…
Referee cards
3.4a game
Crystal Palace cards
1.3a game
Newcastle cards
2.4a game

Team news

Crystal Palace
  • Dean Henderson — doubtful (gk)
  • Chadi Riad — out (def)
  • Takehiro Tomiyasu — out (def)
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen — doubtful (fwd)
  • Quinten Timber — doubtful (mid)
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta — doubtful (fwd)
Newcastle
  • Anthony Elanga — doubtful (fwd)
  • Jacob Ramsey — doubtful (mid)
  • Matias Fernandez-Pardo — doubtful (fwd)
  • Tino Livramento — out (def)

English Premier League table

English Premier League standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Manchester City8—21
2Arsenal8—21
3Brighton & Hove Albion7—16
4Chelsea7—13
5Liverpool7—12
6Aston Villa8—11

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Crystal Palace vs Newcastle prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Crystal Palace 34%, the draw 23% and Newcastle 43%.

What is the best bet for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?

Our tip is Home or Draw at 1.70. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Crystal Palace vs Newcastle kick off?

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle kicks off at Sun 14:00 in the English Premier League.

Who is out for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?

Reported absences: Dean Henderson (doubtful), Chadi Riad (out), Takehiro Tomiyasu (out), Jorgen Strand Larsen (doubtful), Quinten Timber (doubtful), Jean-Philippe Mateta (doubtful), Anthony Elanga (doubtful), Jacob Ramsey (doubtful), Matias Fernandez-Pardo (doubtful), Tino Livramento (out).

What happened the last time Crystal Palace vs Newcastle met?

Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle United (2026-04-12 · Premier League). Over their last 6 meetings it is 2 wins for Crystal Palace, 2 draws and 2 for Newcastle.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.