Man Utd vs Bournemouth prediction, tips and odds
- high ceiling
- both score
- weakened side
- high stakes
- league
- Man Utd: must win
- Bournemouth: normal
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- English Premier League
- Referee
- Jarred Gillett
- 3.8 cards a game
Our prediction
L. Martinez (doubtful), M. Rashford (doubtful), B. Sesko (doubtful), A. Heaven (doubtful), L. Shaw (out), K. Mainoo (out)
E. Kroupi (doubtful), J. Araujo (out), A. Toth (out), A. Scott (out)
- goals per meeting
- 4.0goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 4/6with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 5/6over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Goals keep comingOur pickOver 2.5 Goals1.70
- Bournemouth come throughOur pickDraw or AwayPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 1–111%
- 2–19%
- 1–28%
- Projected goals
- 3.1
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–025%
| Stat | MAN | BOU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 | 1.43 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 4.82 | 9.8 |
| Cards | 1.6 | 2.15 | 3.8 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | MAN | BOU |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 3/5 |
| Both teams scored | — | 2/5 |
| Clean sheets | — | 2/5 |
| Failed to score | — | 1/5 |
- DBournemouth 2–2 Manchester United2026-03-20 · Premier League4 gls
- DManchester United 4–4 Bournemouth2025-12-15 · Premier League8 gls
- DBournemouth 1–1 Manchester United2025-04-27 · Premier League2 gls
- LManchester United 0–3 Bournemouth2024-12-22 · Premier League3 gls
- DBournemouth 2–2 Manchester United2024-04-13 · Premier League4 gls
Match context
- Form
- Man Utd DLLDD: 1-4 at Como (UCL), 1-1 at Leeds, 1-1 v Tottenham, 1-1 at Fulham, 0-1 v Man City — one point from five, scoring once per game, winless in seven. Bournemouth W W L L D: 3-0 v Milan (UEL), 2-0 v Sunderland, 1-5 at Chelsea, 0-1 v Liverpool, 2-2 at Newcastle.
- History
- These two are regular Premier League opponents now, and the recent series is unusually tight and unusually high-scoring: Bournemouth are unbeaten in the last five league meetings (W1 D4), including 4-4 at Old Trafford (Dec 2025), 2-2 at the Vitality twice (Mar 2026, Apr 2024) and 1-1 away in Apr 2025, after back-to-back 3-0 Bournemouth wins at Old Trafford (Dec 2023, Dec 2024). Stature: United remain the far bigger club (13th in 2026-27, 7 pts from 7), Bournemouth the smaller club over-performi…
- The competition
- English Premier League 2026-27, national top flight (tier 1), ordinary league round — Man Utd host Bournemouth at Old Trafford on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (14:00 GMT). Man Utd are in their worst start for ~40 years — winless in five PL games and winless in seven in all competitions after a 4-1 Champions League loss at Como on 21 Oct — so they sit in the bottom half and are playing to halt a slide with a third game in eight days (Leeds 18 Oct, Como 21 Oct, Bournemouth 25 Oct). Bournemouth sit 15th-17th (…
- Referee cards
- 3.8a game
- Bournemouth cards
- 3.0a game
Team news
- L. Martinez — doubtful (def)
- M. Rashford — doubtful (fwd)
- B. Sesko — doubtful (fwd)
- A. Heaven — doubtful (def)
- L. Shaw — out (def)
- K. Mainoo — out (mid)
- E. Kroupi — doubtful (fwd)
- J. Araujo — out (def)
- A. Toth — out (def)
- A. Scott — out (mid)
English Premier League table
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | — | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | — | — | — |
| 15 | Bournemouth | — | — | — |
as read when this competition was last scouted.
More tips this week
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- Kansas City vs Austin FC · Both teams to score · Yes1.48
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Frequently asked questions
What is our Man Utd vs Bournemouth prediction?
We project 1–1. Our model gives Man Utd 43%, the draw 24% and Bournemouth 33%.
What is the best bet for Man Utd vs Bournemouth?
Our tip is Full time · Over 2.5 Goals at 1.70. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does Man Utd vs Bournemouth kick off?
Man Utd vs Bournemouth kicks off at Sun 14:00 in the English Premier League.
Who is out for Man Utd vs Bournemouth?
Reported absences: E. Kroupi (doubtful), J. Araujo (out), A. Toth (out), A. Scott (out), L. Martinez (doubtful), M. Rashford (doubtful), B. Sesko (doubtful), A. Heaven (doubtful), L. Shaw (out), K. Mainoo (out).
What happened the last time Man Utd vs Bournemouth met?
Bournemouth 2–2 Manchester United (2026-03-20 · Premier League). Over their last 6 meetings it is 0 wins for Man Utd, 4 draws and 2 for Bournemouth.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.