PFC Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystock prediction, tips and odds
- league
- PFC Levski Sofia: normal
- Jagiellonia Bialystock: normal
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- UEFA Europa League
Our prediction
Asen Mitkov (out), Hristov (out), Kamdem (out), Kirilov (out), Sangare (out)
Bernardo Vital (out), Norbert Wojtuszek (out), Nik Prelec (doubtful)
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- PFC Levski Sofia come throughOur pickPFC Levski Sofia2.10
- Goals stay downOur pickUnder 3.5 GoalsPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 1–013%
- 1–112%
- 2–09%
- Projected goals
- 2.4
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–033%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.71
- Competition matches over 2.5
- 53%
| Stat | PFC | JAG | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.35 | 1.47 | 0.97 | 2.4 |
| Expected goals (xG)League 1.4 | 1.33 | 1.51 | 2.8 |
| Shots on target | 3.98 | 4.41 | 8.4 |
| CornersLeague 4.6 | 4.45 | 4.16 | 8.6 |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 13.7 | 26.1 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | PFC | JAG |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 | 3/5 |
| Both teams scored | 3/5 | 1/5 |
| Clean sheets | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| Failed to score | 0/5 | 2/5 |
Match context
- Form
- Levski Sofia strong and low-scoring: W-D-W in the league around EL results (won at Plzen 2-1, drew NEC 1-1, lost 0-1 Salzburg), but 4 of last 5 were 1-0/0-2/1-1/1-2 type tight games. Jagiellonia erratic and leakier: beat Wieczysta 3-1 and Ararat 3-1 (HT 2-1) but were beaten 0-3…
- History
- No meaningful recent history: this is the first-ever competitive meeting between Levski Sofia and Jagiellonia Bialystok (multiple previews confirm zero previous official meetings, so there is no league or European head-to-head record to weigh). Context on stature: both are current domestic champions-level sides — Levski (Bulgarian champions) and Jagiellonia (Ekstraklasa) — meeting in the 2026-27 Europa League league phase, where they are near-equals in results so far: Levski 17th on 4 points fr…
- The competition
- UEFA Europa League 2026/27, league phase (the single 36-team table from which Europe's second-tier club competition runs, replacing the old group stage; top 8 go straight to the last 16, 9-24 into a play-off round). This is Matchday 4 of 8 — an ordinary league-phase round, no second leg, no knockout maths yet. Neither side appeared in the 8-game closing table on file because this table is a live snapshot at MD4, not the final one: Levski Sofia sit around 17th on 4 pts (P3, W1 D1 L1, GF3/GA3) an…
Team news
- Asen Mitkov — out (mid)
- Hristov — out (unknown)
- Kamdem — out (unknown)
- Kirilov — out (unknown)
- Sangare — out (unknown)
- Bernardo Vital — out (def)
- Norbert Wojtuszek — out (def)
- Nik Prelec — doubtful (fwd)
UEFA Europa League table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | — | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | — | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | — | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 8 | — | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | — | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | — | 17 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Igor JesusNottingham Forest7 goals
- 2Petar StanićLudogorets7 goals
- 3AntonyReal Betis6 goals
- 4Kerem AktürkoğluFenerbahçe6 goals
- 5Vincenzo GrifoSC Freiburg5 goals
- 1Deniz UndavVfB Stuttgart6 assists
- 2Emiliano BuendíaAston Villa6 assists
- 3Morgan RogersAston Villa5 assists
- 4Ricardo HortaBraga5 assists
- 5Andrija ŽivkovićPAOK5 assists
- 1Aston Villa9 clean sheets
- 2Nottingham Forest7 clean sheets
- 3Braga7 clean sheets
- 4FC Midtjylland5 clean sheets
- 5Viktoria Plzeň5 clean sheets
UEFA.com 2025/26 stats: 512 goals / 189 matches = 2.71; over-2.5 52.8% (GoalStatsLab); table stat32/Tribuna; leaders UEFA.com, ESPN, Statz
More UEFA Europa League tips this weekend
- Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.21
- AC Milan vs Ferencvaros · Full time result · AC Milan1.38
- NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.20
- Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.11
- Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth · Full time result · Bournemouth1.55
- Real Sociedad vs Lyon · Full time result · Real Sociedad1.73
Frequently asked questions
What is our PFC Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystock prediction?
We project 1–0. The bookmakers' own prices imply PFC Levski Sofia 47%, the draw 27% and Jagiellonia Bialystock 26%.
What is the best bet for PFC Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystock?
Our tip is Full time result · PFC Levski Sofia at 2.10. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does PFC Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystock kick off?
PFC Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystock kicks off at Thu 17:45 in the UEFA Europa League.
Who is out for PFC Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystock?
Reported absences: Bernardo Vital (out), Norbert Wojtuszek (out), Nik Prelec (doubtful), Asen Mitkov (out), Hristov (out), Kamdem (out), Kirilov (out), Sangare (out).
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.